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Dr. Farrukh A. Chishtie
Air pollution in Pakistan represents a critical challenge to public health and environmental sustainability. The country, particularly its urban centers like Lahore, consistently ranks among the most polluted places in the world, with air quality levels deteriorating year after year.
Air pollution as environmental degradation across Pakistan has profound implications for human health, exacerbating respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. The harmful levels of particulate matter (PM2.5) and other pollutants are primarily driven by a combination of industrial emissions, vehicular exhaust, agricultural burning, and the continued use of low-quality fossil fuels. As the country strives to meet its obligations under international agreements such as the Paris Agreement, addressing air quality concerns is critical not only for reducing greenhouse gas emissions but also for safeguarding the health of millions of people.
Air quality is intricately linked to climate change in Pakistan. Rising temperatures, driven by global warming, exacerbate the conditions that trap pollutants near the ground, particularly during winter months when smog blankets large portions of the country. The combination of colder temperatures and industrial activity leads to temperature inversions, trapping air pollutants at lower altitudes and resulting in dangerous spikes in the Air Quality Index (AQI). In cities like Lahore, Karachi, and Islamabad, these conditions lead to the frequent formation of smog, which reduces visibility, hampers economic activity, and poses significant risks to human health​.
The impacts of poor air quality extend beyond environmental degradation. In addition to immediate health impacts such as respiratory infections, poor air quality can trigger long-term chronic conditions such as asthma, lung cancer, and cardiovascular diseases. Vulnerable groups, including children, the elderly, and those with preexisting health conditions, are particularly susceptible to the harmful effects of pollution. This growing health crisis not only strains Pakistan's healthcare infrastructure but also increases the burden on its economy through lost productivity and increased healthcare costs​.
This cover story aims to explore the multifaceted connections between air quality, climate change, and public health in Pakistan, highlighting the urgency for action. By analyzing the causes and consequences of Pakistan's air quality crisis, and presenting solutions, this discussion will provide pathways for sustainable recovery. As the country grapples with the dual challenges of climate change and poor air quality, coordinated efforts are essential to ensure a healthier and more sustainable future for all Pakistanis.
Scale of the Problem
The scale of Pakistan's air pollution crisis cannot be understated. According to various reports, the country ranks among the most polluted in the world, with its largest cities frequently appearing in global rankings for poor air quality. Lahore, for example, has repeatedly topped the list of the most polluted cities during the winter months, with AQI levels often exceeding 300—a level classified as "hazardous"​. The primary sources of pollution in these areas include industrial emissions, vehicular exhaust, and agricultural burning. As winter approaches, cooler temperatures and stagnant winds trap pollutants close to the ground, forming thick layers of smog that persist for days or even weeks at a time.
This phenomenon, commonly referred to as "smog season," is most prevalent in Northwestern Pakistan, particularly in the densely populated region of Punjab. During the winter months, the combination of industrial activity and agricultural practices, such as the burning of crop residue, creates a perfect storm of pollutants. The dense fog that naturally forms during this time of year interacts with airborne pollutants, creating a toxic mixture that has devastating effects on public health​. As a result, smog season has become a significant public health concern, with hospitals reporting a surge in respiratory illnesses and other pollution-related diseases.
One of the most dangerous pollutants during this period is particulate matter, particularly PM2.5. These tiny particles, which are less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter, are small enough to penetrate deep into the lungs and enter the bloodstream, where they can cause a range of health issues. Long-term exposure to PM2.5 has been linked to chronic respiratory conditions such as asthma, bronchitis, and lung cancer​. In Pakistan, the levels of PM2.5 often reach more than ten times the World Health Organization's (WHO) recommended safe limit, putting millions of people at risk.
Despite widespread awareness of the problem, Pakistan has struggled to implement effective solutions. The government's response has been inconsistent, with measures such as temporary factory shutdowns and vehicle restrictions providing only short-term relief. Long-term solutions, such as stricter emissions standards and the promotion of cleaner energy sources, have been slow to take hold​. Additionally, continuous air quality monitoring remains limited, particularly in rural areas, where pollution from agricultural practices and brick kilns is rampant​.
The lack of adequate monitoring infrastructure means that policymakers and the public are often unaware of the true scale of the problem. Without reliable data, it is difficult to implement targeted interventions that could reduce pollution levels and mitigate their impact on public health. Therefore, one of the most urgent needs is to expand Pakistan's air quality monitoring network to provide real-time data that can inform more effective policy decisions.
Climate Change and Air Quality Nexus
The link between climate change and air quality in Pakistan is profound and multifaceted. As the global climate warms, Pakistan has seen a significant rise in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, from heatwaves to unpredictable monsoons. These changes have created a conducive environment for air pollution to persist and worsen. Rising temperatures, for example, increase the formation of ground-level ozone—a key component of smog. As ozone levels rise, they interact with other pollutants like particulate matter, nitrogen oxides (NOx), and volatile organic compounds (VOCs), leading to more frequent and severe air pollution episodes, particularly during the warmer months​.
In winter, the situation is exacerbated by the onset of temperature inversions. A temperature inversion occurs when a layer of warm air traps cooler air close to the ground, preventing pollutants from dispersing into the atmosphere. In regions like Northwestern Pakistan and Punjab, this phenomenon contributes to the formation of dense smog, which lingers for days, severely reducing air quality. The combination of industrial emissions, vehicular exhaust, and agricultural burning, especially during the post-harvest season, creates a dangerous environment where both urban and rural populations suffer from prolonged exposure to toxic air​.
The smog and fog season, which occurs primarily during the colder months, has become an annual health crisis for millions. Cities like Lahore are particularly vulnerable, as cooler temperatures trap pollutants emitted by factories, vehicles, and agricultural fires. This "chemical fog" poses a unique danger because it contains a mixture of harmful gases and particulate matter, which can penetrate deep into the respiratory system, leading to immediate and long-term health consequences. People with pre-existing conditions, such as asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), are at a heightened risk of severe respiratory problems during this time​.
Climate change also contributes to the rise in wildfires, particularly in the northern and western regions of Pakistan, where prolonged droughts and heatwaves have dried out vegetation, making it more susceptible to burning. These wildfires release massive amounts of particulate matter and carbon into the atmosphere, further degrading air quality. The pollution from wildfires not only affects the immediate vicinity but can also travel long distances, exacerbating air quality problems in major urban centers far from the fires.
In addition to exacerbating air pollution, climate change also makes it harder for countries like Pakistan to combat the problem effectively. Unpredictable weather patterns make it difficult to implement long-term solutions, as government agencies are often forced to react to immediate crises rather than plan for sustainable improvement. Furthermore, as temperatures continue to rise, the health impacts of air pollution are expected to worsen. Hotter weather accelerates chemical reactions in the atmosphere, leading to more ozone formation and higher levels of air pollution.
Given the strong connection between climate change and air quality, addressing these two issues together is essential. Any comprehensive solution to Pakistan's air quality crisis must also consider the broader impacts of climate change. Policies aimed at reducing emissions, promoting renewable energy, and improving public health infrastructure will not only help to mitigate the effects of climate change but also improve air quality and protect public health​.
The need for integrated policies that address both climate change and air quality is urgent. Without coordinated efforts to tackle these interconnected challenges, Pakistan will continue to face escalating health crises each winter, with the added burden of increasingly erratic and dangerous weather patterns.
Health Impacts and Smog-Related Crises
The health impacts of air pollution in Pakistan are alarming. Among the most immediate consequences is the rise in respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Cities like Lahore, which are consistently exposed to high levels of pollutants, especially during the winter smog season, see a surge in hospital admissions for asthma, bronchitis, and heart disease. The high concentration of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in the air exacerbates these conditions, making it difficult for people with pre-existing respiratory issues to breathe.
According to the World Health Organization (WHO), 99% of the world’s population breathes air that exceeds recommended levels of air quality, and in Pakistan, the situation is even more critical, PM2.5 is particularly harmful because its small size allows it to penetrate deep into the lungs and bloodstream, causing not only respiratory issues but also cardiovascular problems. Chronic exposure can lead to long-term health complications, including lung cancer and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). In Pakistan, where PM2.5 levels can reach more than ten times the WHO's safe limit, the risk to public health is severe. Vulnerable populations—such as children, the elderly, and those with pre-existing health conditions—are at the greatest risk. During the smog season, schools are often closed to protect children from the harmful effects of outdoor air​.
One of the most concerning aspects of air pollution is its ability to shorten life expectancy. Recent data from the Air Quality Life Index (AQLI) suggests that air pollution in Pakistan reduces the average citizen’s life expectancy by nearly four years
In cities like Lahore, where air quality is particularly poor, life expectancy reductions are even more pronounced. This is a stark indicator of the long-term public health crisis that air pollution poses. The rise in premature deaths linked to air pollution—estimated at over 128,000 annually—further highlights the urgency of addressing this issue.
The smog and fog season that grips Northwestern Pakistan and the Punjab region each winter exacerbates these health crises. During this period, visibility is drastically reduced, and the air becomes laden with a toxic mix of pollutants. The formation of smog occurs when emissions from vehicles, factories, and agricultural fires are trapped by colder temperatures and stagnant air. This chemical fog, which combines with natural fog, creates a hazardous environment where prolonged exposure to polluted air leads to respiratory infections and cardiovascular stress. Hospitals in affected regions report an influx of patients during the smog season, straining already overburdened healthcare systems.
One of the lesser known but equally concerning health effects of air pollution is its impact on mental health. Studies have shown that prolonged exposure to high levels of air pollution can lead to cognitive decline, increased stress, and higher rates of mental health disorders such as depression and anxiety. In densely populated and polluted cities, the psychological toll of living in a toxic environment can be substantial This adds yet another layer to the public health challenge posed by air pollution in Pakistan.
Efforts to mitigate the health impacts of air pollution have been limited by the lack of comprehensive public health campaigns. While there are occasional advisories during periods of extreme pollution, there has been little sustained effort to educate the public about the risks of air pollution and how to protect themselves. Basic preventive measures, such as wearing masks, using air purifiers, and avoiding outdoor activities during high-pollution days, are not widely adopted, especially in lower-income.
Addressing the health impacts of air pollution in Pakistan requires a multi-faceted approach. Beyond improving air quality, there is a need for stronger public health infrastructure that can respond effectively to the seasonal surges in pollution-related illnesses. Additionally, increasing public awareness about the dangers of air pollution and the importance of preventive measures is crucial in reducing the health burden on the population. Without these efforts, Pakistan will continue to face escalating health crises, particularly during the winter months when smog envelops large portions of the country.
Economic and Social Costs of Air Pollution
The economic and social costs of air pollution in Pakistan are vast, with consequences that ripple through the country's healthcare system, workforce, and agriculture. Air pollution directly affects economic productivity, costing the nation billions of dollars annually. Workers exposed to high levels of air pollution are more likely to suffer from respiratory illnesses, leading to increased absenteeism and reduced productivity. According to a report by the World Bank, the economic cost of air pollution in Pakistan is estimated to be around 5.88% of its GDP.
This includes healthcare costs, lost labor output, and the impact of premature deaths, which exacerbate poverty and inequality in already vulnerable communities. The impact on agriculture is another critical economic consequence of air pollution. Pakistan’s agriculture sector, which employs around 40% of the workforce and contributes significantly to the GDP, has been severely affected by rising levels of ground-level ozone. Ozone is particularly harmful to crops such as wheat and cotton, two of Pakistan’s most important agricultural exports. As air pollution increases, crop yields diminish, threatening the food security of millions of Pakistanis and reducing the income of farmers. This, in turn, drives up the cost of food, increasing inflationary pressures on the economy.
One of the lesser known but significant contributors to Pakistan’s air pollution is its reliance on biomass for cooking and heating in rural areas. More than 50% of households in Pakistan still rely on biomass fuels, such as wood, crop residues, and animal dung, which release harmful pollutants when burned. These pollutants not only affect indoor air quality but also contribute to the overall pollution levels in rural regions, compounding the health risks and reducing productivity. Women and children in these households are disproportionately affected, as they are more likely to spend time near stoves and open fires, leading to higher exposure to harmful emissions.
In addition to the direct health impacts, air pollution also exacerbates social inequality. Low-income families are more likely to live in areas with higher pollution levels, whether due to proximity to industrial zones, roads with heavy traffic, or reliance on polluting fuels. These communities often lack access to healthcare services, making it difficult for them to treat pollution-related illnesses. The economic burden of healthcare costs forces many families into a cycle of poverty, as they are unable to work or afford medical treatment.
The social costs of air pollution extend beyond immediate economic impacts. Poor air quality affects education, as children are more likely to miss school due to pollution-related illnesses. Studies have shown that children exposed to high levels of air pollution are at risk of cognitive decline and lower academic performance, which can have long-term implications for their future job prospects and earning potential.
This not only widens the educational gap but also perpetuates the cycle of poverty and inequality in the country. Furthermore, the social stigma attached to pollution-related health conditions, particularly respiratory illnesses, can marginalize affected individuals, reducing their participation in social and economic life. In Pakistan, where healthcare access is often limited by socioeconomic status, people living in polluted areas face greater challenges in obtaining the care they need, deepening the divide between rich and poor.
Addressing the economic and social costs of air pollution requires a coordinated effort across sectors. Policies that reduce emissions, promote cleaner energy, and provide healthcare support to those affected by pollution are essential. Transitioning from biomass to cleaner cooking technologies in rural areas could significantly reduce pollution levels and improve public health​. Additionally, expanding access to education and healthcare in vulnerable communities can help mitigate the long-term social impacts of air pollution.
Government Efforts and Monitoring Shortcomings
Over the past decade, Pakistan has initiated several programs to tackle the air pollution crisis. These include the National Clean Air Program (NCAP) and the Clean Green Pakistan Index, both aimed at improving air quality by reducing emissions from industrial, vehicular, and agricultural sources. These efforts are part of a broader strategy to fulfill Pakistan’s commitments under the Paris Agreement, which include cutting carbon emissions by 50% by 2030.
However, despite these efforts, the implementation and enforcement of regulations remain inconsistent, particularly when it comes to continuous air quality monitoring and public health preparedness. Continuous monitoring of air quality is a crucial step in understanding and responding to pollution spikes, yet Pakistan's monitoring infrastructure is inadequate. While major cities like Lahore and Karachi have some monitoring systems in place, rural and semi-urban areas—which contribute significantly to pollution through crop burning, brick kilns, and the use of biomass for cooking—are largely ignored​. This lack of comprehensive monitoring makes it difficult to track pollution trends accurately, leaving policymakers without the real-time data needed to implement effective solutions.
To address these challenges, expanding Pakistan’s air quality monitoring network is essential. This will allow the government to detect pollution hotspots more efficiently and take targeted action, such as shutting down polluting industries or restricting vehicle use during high-risk periods​. Moreover, it is important for this data to be publicly available in real-time so that citizens can make informed decisions to protect their health. In many other countries, real-time air quality indices are easily accessible through mobile apps or websites, empowering people to take precautions, such as wearing masks or avoiding outdoor activities, during periods of high pollution. This type of transparency and public engagement is still lacking in Pakistan.
One of the significant gaps in Pakistan’s air quality management is the failure to integrate biodiversity and ecosystem health into the broader environmental protection strategy. Air pollution does not only harm humans—it also has devastating effects on wildlife, plants, and ecosystems. For example, pollutants like nitrogen oxides (NOx) and sulfur dioxide (SO2) contribute to soil acidification, which can harm plant life and reduce biodiversity​. Additionally, particulate matter and ozone damage vegetation, reducing crop yields and threatening the food supply for both humans and wildlife.
A truly holistic approach to solving Pakistan’s air pollution crisis must include efforts to protect biodiversity. Healthy ecosystems play a vital role in mitigating air pollution, as forests, wetlands, and other natural environments act as carbon sinks that absorb pollutants from the atmosphere​. Protecting and restoring these ecosystems should be an integral part of Pakistan’s air quality strategy. Reforestation projects, particularly in areas affected by deforestation, can help absorb CO2 and other pollutants, while also providing habitat for wildlife and supporting biodiversity.
Furthermore, enhancing biodiversity can improve the resilience of ecosystems to climate change and pollution. By preserving a variety of plant and animal species, ecosystems are better able to adapt to changing environmental conditions and continue providing essential services such as air purification and water filtration. The protection of natural habitats also supports sustainable livelihoods, particularly in rural areas where people depend on agriculture and forestry for income. Incorporating biodiversity into the air pollution solution requires coordinated efforts between government agencies, NGOs, and local communities. Policies that promote sustainable land use, reduce deforestation, and protect critical habitats must go hand in hand with air quality regulations. This holistic approach not only addresses the root causes of pollution but also ensures long-term environmental and economic sustainability​.
Finally, public health interventions must be strengthened to cope with the ongoing health impacts of air pollution. Pakistan’s healthcare system is already under strain, and the seasonal spikes in pollution-related illnesses exacerbate this burden. More investment is needed in healthcare infrastructure, particularly in areas most affected by pollution. Training healthcare professionals to recognize and treat pollution-related diseases, along with expanding access to preventive care, can help reduce the long-term health impacts of poor air quality.
Pathways to Recovery
Addressing Pakistan’s air quality crisis requires a holistic approach, focusing on both immediate and long-term solutions that tackle the root causes of pollution while safeguarding public health, the economy, and the environment. Key among these strategies is the need to adopt a multi-pronged approach that integrates improved air quality monitoring, stronger emissions regulations, a transition to clean energy, and a focus on protecting biodiversity.
Improved Monitoring and Public Awareness: The expansion of Pakistan’s air quality monitoring infrastructure is critical to identifying pollution hotspots and assessing the effectiveness of regulatory actions. While major urban centers like Lahore and Karachi have some monitoring capacity, many other regions, especially rural areas, lack continuous monitoring systems.
A national monitoring network that provides real-time data is essential for both policymakers and the public to understand current pollution levels and take appropriate action. Public access to this data would empower citizens to make informed decisions, such as wearing masks or avoiding outdoor activities during high-pollution days.
Stricter Emissions Standards and Industrial Regulation: To address the root causes of pollution, Pakistan must enforce stricter regulations on emissions from industrial and vehicular sources. Currently, industrial activity, particularly from brick kilns and steel mills, as well as vehicular emissions from millions of cars and motorcycles, are the primary contributors to air pollution. Transitioning to cleaner fuel technologies, such as Euro-5 compliant fuel, is a step in the right direction, but enforcement of these standards needs to be robust and universal​. Additionally, stricter penalties for non-compliance by industries should be enacted to ensure that emissions are reduced across the board.
Renewable Energy and Green Infrastructure: Moving away from fossil fuels is imperative to reducing air pollution and mitigating climate change. Pakistan’s commitment to increasing its share of renewable energy, particularly through solar, wind, and hydropower projects, will help reduce dependence on coal and oil. Expanding green infrastructure, such as public transportation networks and urban green spaces, can also reduce pollution from vehicles while improving the quality of life in densely populated cities​(CS April 2021 final). Incentivizing the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and investing in sustainable urban planning will create cleaner, healthier cities​.
Protecting Biodiversity and Ecosystems: A holistic approach to solving the air pollution crisis must also include efforts to protect Pakistan’s biodiversity and ecosystems. Healthy ecosystems, such as forests and wetlands, act as natural filters for air pollutants, absorbing carbon dioxide and particulate matter.The destruction of these natural environments not only worsens air quality but also diminishes the resilience of ecosystems to climate change. Reforestation efforts, particularly in deforested areas, can help restore this balance and create carbon sinks that mitigate the effects of pollution. Protecting biodiversity ensures that ecosystems continue to provide essential services, such as air and water filtration, pollination of crops, and climate regulation. A diverse range of plant and animal species strengthens ecosystems' resilience, allowing them to adapt to environmental stressors, including pollution. To achieve this, Pakistan must prioritize the conservation of its natural habitats and enforce laws that protect endangered species and critical ecosystems​. Engaging local communities in conservation efforts can also foster sustainable land-use practices that reduce environmental degradation.
Public Health Interventions and Healthcare Infrastructure:Â In parallel with efforts to reduce pollution, Pakistan must also strengthen its healthcare infrastructure to cope with the ongoing health impacts of air pollution. This includes increasing access to healthcare in areas most affected by pollution, training healthcare professionals to recognize and treat pollution-related illnesses and promoting preventive measures. Public health campaigns can play a vital role in educating the public about the dangers of air pollution and how to protect themselves, particularly during high-risk periods like the smog season
Climate Impact Management as Part of the Air Quality Solution: One of the key connections between climate change and air quality is its impact on precipitation patterns. Rising temperatures and shifting climate patterns are leading to more erratic rainfall in Pakistan, which affects both air quality and the broader environment. Less frequent and more intense rainfalls reduce the natural cleansing effect of precipitation, allowing pollutants to remain suspended in the atmosphere for longer periods. Additionally, drier conditions in certain regions, particularly in the northwestern areas, increase the likelihood of wildfires and dust storms, both of which contribute significantly to air pollution​. Addressing this requires integrating climate impact models into air quality management. Water management strategies that ensure adequate and well-distributed rainfall, such as reforestation and watershed management, can mitigate air pollution by increasing the natural removal of airborne particulates. Encouraging the use of sustainable agricultural practices, which reduce reliance on burning crop residue, also helps decrease the buildup of smog-inducing pollutants​.
Regional Cooperation and Policy Alignment:Â Air pollution is not limited by borders, and regional cooperation with neighboring countries, particularly India, is essential to addressing transboundary pollution. Smog in Pakistan is exacerbated by agricultural burning and industrial emissions in both countries, and joint efforts to regulate these activities could significantly reduce pollution levels across the region. Bilateral agreements that focus on reducing crop burning and transitioning to cleaner energy sources can have a lasting impact on air quality throughout South Asia.
In conclusion, addressing Pakistan’s air quality crisis demands a holistic strategy that incorporates environmental protection, public health, and economic sustainability. By improving air quality monitoring, enforcing stricter emissions standards, transitioning to renewable energy, and protecting biodiversity, Pakistan can create a cleaner, healthier future for its citizens. This will require coordinated efforts from the government, private sector, and civil society, but with the right policies and investments, Pakistan can turn the tide on air pollution and ensure a sustainable recovery for present and future generations​.
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